Idea

A roadmap replaces a logic of dates with a logic of certainty horizons

Info

Originally written in French. Translated by AI — the meaning has been preserved, not the prose.

Main idea

A dated roadmap commits the product team on the quantity it knows least well: the month of release. The Now / Next / Later format changes the quantity on display. It no longer sorts topics by their position in a calendar, but by the degree of certainty the company has about them. Now carries what the team is doing, with an identified problem, a value promise and a success metric. Next carries what is being seriously prepared and could be committed. Later carries what remains possible without being a priority.

The shift makes the roadmap honest at very little cost. A topic in Later is not late, it is uncertain. A topic moving from Next to Now has not caught up with a schedule: it has cleared its unknowns. Nothing slips, because nothing had been promised for a date.

What the roadmap loses is the answer to "when?". What it gains is the answer to "how settled is this?" — the only one of the two a product team can actually hold.

Why it matters

It shifts the ground of a discussion that never lands. A salesperson demanding a date and a Product Manager refusing to commit are not talking about the same risk: one wants to be able to tell their customer something, the other refuses to lie about a deadline. The certainty horizon gives the first a defensible sentence — "it's committed", "it's being seriously considered", "it isn't a priority" — without forcing the second to invent a month.

It also supplies a rereading test: a roadmap whose columns are filled by gut feel, where nobody can say what was cleared for a topic to move up, has stayed a schedule in disguise.

Nuances and limits

Some commitments are dated by nature: a regulatory deadline, a contractual clause, a trade show. A roadmap by horizons then has to coexist with a calendar rather than claim to absorb it.

And displayed certainty stays declarative. Nothing prevents putting a topic in Now whose unknowns nobody has cleared; the format does not produce the rigor it assumes.

Open questions

  • How does a customer who has to plan their own project make use of a roadmap that no longer carries dates?